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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
During the period 200 – 2004 the Now York and London stock market s fell. In the US there was a minor recession n the UK there was no recession. This 8 page paper looks to the theoretical explanations for the underlying reasons for the fall. Supported by two graphs that demonstrate the falls, with data starting in 1999 theories such as efficient market hypothesis, Dow theory and the Elliott wave theory as well as the ideas of Arthur Pigou. These are all assessed to determine if, and to what extent, any of these theories could explain the movements in this period. The bibliography cites 4 sources.
Page Count:
8 pages (~225 words per page)
File: TS14_TEstockfall.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
an air of disbelief that the stock market as a whole could crash. However, in 200 there was the first fall, and the stock markets have been showing great difficulty
ever since. To consider why these falls occurred, in both the UK and the US stock market, we first need to look at the performance of the stock markets between
2000 and 2004 and then consider how and why this occurred. In the first graph we can see the performance of the main index used in the United Kingdom;
the FTSE 1001, compared with the main index used on the New York Stock Exchange. Figure 1; The FTSE 100 and S&P 5000 1999 - 2004 (FT, 2004)
The S&P 500 is performing lightly over that of the FTSE 100, but both show similar patterns. During 1999 there is a general climb, with a few drops when
fears arise regarding that the shares are over priced. However, there is a shaky start to 2000, but the real downturn starts in April 2000. This may be seen as
impacting more severely on the FTSE 1090, not due to a greater drop, but due to the fact New York has the NASDAQ, where the high tech shares are listed,
and are separated out form the more traditional businesses. In figure 2 this difference between the NASDAQ and the FTSE Tech share index is shown. By the end of the
period shown (24th Feb 2004), the markets are still significantly down on the period five years prior to this, the S&P 500 may be 20% higher than the FTSE,
but both are still down. Figure 2; The FTSE Tech Share Index and the NASDAQ (FT, 2004). This also shows the same patters with a fall, after
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