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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
This 20 page paper considers the argument that war is good for the stock market. The paper looks at the impact of war on the stock market, the paper takes a broad view before focusing on the London Stock Exchange and the Iraq 2003 war. The writer considers different theories that may explain movements which correlate with war and factors associated of war that may favour good stock market performance. Use of theories and evidence from the stock markets are correlated for a conclusion to be reached. The bibliography cites 13 sources.
Page Count:
20 pages (~225 words per page)
File: TS14_TEwarstock.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
increased the demand within an economy as a whole due to increased circulation of funds. In a war scenario, or following a war scenario, there is also increased nationalism, and
as such a greater level of income may then remain in the country, rather than leaking from the economy. This is the theory postulated by many investors, based mainly an
anecdotal evidence. However, the perception of increased performance may create the phenomena rather than reflect it, impacting on the short term results of the stock markets. Alternatively, the theory may
reflect reality, but even if there is a correlation with increased stock market performance following a war the results still need to be considered, was this really because of the
war, or is there a different underlying reasons for the correlation, that is not indicative of a causal result. Looking at recent evidence from the UK stock exchange, there
has been a fall and rise over the last decade. A paper such as this cannot be considered without looking at some results of the stock market. Figure 1 gives
the performance of the FTSE All Share index. The figures of the other indices such as the FTSE 100, FTSE 250 and FTSE 350 all show similar trends over the
same period (Financial Times, 2004). Figure 1; FTSE All Share Index 1994 - 2004 (Financial Times, 2004) On this is would appear that there is
a trend of falling and rising. There is a peak in 1999/2000 and falling this there is a gradual fall. In 2001 there is a large and short term fall
following the attack on the world trade centre on September 11th. This was the one event that managed to close the New York Stock exchange since the great depression. It
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