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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
This 3 page paper is written in two parts. The first part looks at the way a stock price was analysed with the use of past prices only and regression analysis. The second part of the paper looks at the way a student wants to describe probability of a series events, where individual probabilities of each event are already known and considers the way that the explanation may be improved. The bibliography cites one source.
Page Count:
3 pages (~225 words per page)
File: TS14_TEstatprob.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
the paper was to determine the way in which share prices were likely to move in the future. The input for the statistical analysis was the monthly closing share price
for the company. As the paper was looking to the future and seeking to make a projection the result is one that cannot be proven until a future date. Therefore
the use of an inductive method may be seen as most appropriate. To put this in simple terms is the method used was that of trend analysis using the past
two years of data as a foundation. It was already determined that the analysis should be based on two years worth of share
price data for the Apollo Inc. stock. Therefore, the first agency analysis is to collect the data. Theoretically, the data could be collected on a daily weekly or monthly basis.
In this case a monthly basis was chosen in order to limit the number of data input points. When collecting share prices there are a number of options; the first
is the point at which they are collected. As the data needed to be as representative as possible the monthly data was collected on the same date each month, the
12th. However, even during a day there are a number of different data points which could have been used. During the day there share price will fluctuate. It is obvious
that to ensure the sample is representative as possible the same point, or collection method, needs to be used each day. If would have been possible to use opening prices,
closing prices, mid prices or even the high or low point was reached each day. To ensure uniformity the option chosen was the each days closing price. However the result
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