Sample Essay on:
The Use of Leading Indicators to Project Demand in the Housing Market

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Essay / Research Paper Abstract

This 3 page paper looks at the leading indicators that may be useful to a fictitious building company, the period covered in 2007 – 2009, looking at the growth in GDP, unemployment and the consumer prices index (CPI) in the United States. The bibliography cites 3 sources.

Page Count:

3 pages (~225 words per page)

File: TS14_TEleadhouse.rtf

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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:

the factors effecting supply and demand. It is important for companies assess these impacts. For a home building business monitoring and assessing the movement of leading indicators is likely to aid with planning and forecasting, especially since it is known there is about a six-month lack between the movement seen in the leading indicators and the impact on business. There are a number of leading indicators which can be utilized. One of the main leading indicators is the real gross domestic product (GDP). This is indicating that there has been, and is likely to be a continuing slowdown. In 2007 as a whole there was a real growth rate of 2.2%, and in 2008 is expected that the GDP would have a real growth rate of 1.2% Office of Economic Analysis, 2008). However, this will not be evenly spread, looking at the altars last quarter of 2007 saw a slight increase of 0.6%, in 2008 it is for forecast the first quarter will see a fall of 0.1%, in the second quarter before of 0.7% of by the first quarter there will be an improvement the growth of 2.4% leading, with the final quarter, to an overall real growth in GDP in 2008 of 1.2%, the recovery is expected to continue into 2009 when the GDP is expected to grow by 1.7% (Office of Economic Analysis, 2008, Anonymous, 2008). The unemployment rate is also a leading indicator, as higher unemployment will reduce demand in an economy and reduce the income which is available to be spent. In 2007 the unemployment rate was 4.6%, but this appears to be increasing with the rate being 4.8% in the last quarter, but increasing in 2008 moving to 4.9% in the first quarter and projected at being 5.2% by the second quarter ...

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