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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
This 3 page paper explains why there was such a variance in the polls during the Gore/Bush 2000 presidential race. Bibliography lists 1 source.
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3 pages (~225 words per page)
File: KV32_HVnopoll.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
them and not the pollsters. This paper examines the polls that predicted George W. Bush would win the 2000 election, and why there was such a wide variance in their
results. Discussion As it happens, George W. Bush did not win the 2008 election; at least not the popular vote. That went to Al Gore. But Bush carried the Electoral
College and thus became the only the fourth president in history to lose the popular vote and still take office. In his article "The Weak-End of Polling," Larry Kudlow
examines why there is such a variety of results in polls, even when they are polling the same thing, in this case, the point spread between Al Gore and Bush
in the 2000 presidential race. (It should be noted that Kudlow is not unbiased; the article is posted on the National Review website, a conservative outlet; there is some crowing
by the author who gleefully expects that he will keep receiving generous tax cuts.) He observes that the conventional wisdom has shown Bush to be leading the race by 8-10
points for months, with some surveys showing him up by 12 points. But Kudlow isnt sure that the polls are accurate and as it turns out, he has reason to
wonder. Here are his findings in an informal table format: DATE POLL BUSH GORE July 18 2000 CNN/USA 48% 46% July 18 2000 CBS News 43% 41% July 18
2000 Rasmussen 43% 31% July 11 2000 Gallup 50% 41% July 5 2000 Newsweek +4 points July 5 2000 AP 50% 50% June 28 2000 LA Times +10 points
June 28 2000 Battleground Bush +12 points June 28 2000 CNN/Gallup Bush +13 points Congress GOP 38% Dem 34% In other words, according to the
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