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Predicting the Post-Cold War World

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Essay / Research Paper Abstract

A 6 page research paper/essay that compares three predictions about the nature of the post-Cold War world. Francis Fukuyama (1992), John Mearsheimer (1990) and Samuel Huntington (1996) provide predictions concerning the nature of the post-Cold War world. While these authors all perceive the end of the Cold War as precipitating a drastic change in the political power structures of the world stage, they are remarkably different in their assessments of what the future will hold. This examination of these works draws on the work of Marshall and Gurr (2003) in arguing that Huntington's arguments provide the most accurate forecast of political realities in the twenty-first century. No additional sources cited.

Page Count:

6 pages (~225 words per page)

File: D0_kh3pcww.rtf

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of the Cold War as precipitating a drastic change in the political power structures of the world stage, they are remarkably different in their assessments of what the future will hold. The following examination of these works draws on the work of Marshall and Gurr (2003) in arguing that Huntingtons arguments provide the most accurate forecast of political realities in the twenty-first century. Fukuyamas "End of History" In his text, The End of History and the Last Man, Fukuyama argues that capitalism and liberal democracy represent the "end of history" in that this economic and political system are the pinnacle of what humanity can devise in terms of economic achievement and governance. He feels that because of their superior nature, capitalism and liberal democracy not only are destined to prevail throughout the world, but that they already have achieved this goal. As evidence, Fukuyama points to the near disappearance of communism and fascism (1992). Furthermore, he points to a list of sixty-two countries that he maintains have become democratic over the last two hundred years. Another argument offered by Fukuyama is that capitalism is better able to reap the benefits of science and technology because it is more successful than either socialism or communism at stimulating innovation and organizing research. However, Fukuyama also acknowledges that scientific progress does not directly explain the advent of democracy. He states, "While modern natural science can explain some phenomena quite readily, there are many others--starting with the form of government chosen by a particular society--which it can explain only with great difficulty" (1992, p. 80). Fukuyama then goes on to discuss how South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan, which are some of the technologically advanced capitalist countries in the world, are also ruled by authoritarian regimes (1992). As this suggests, ...

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