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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
A 3 page paper examining economic indicators in the US near the end of 2005. GDP continues to increase at a respectable rate, even though there is uncertainty in several areas of the economy. The outlook for 2006 is that retail sales will follow their normal seasonal pattern; housing will continue to decline in terms of new housing starts; and interest rates will remain at or near current levels as the economy grows at a slow, steady pace that does not adversely contribute to increased inflation. Bibliography lists 4 sources.
Page Count:
3 pages (~225 words per page)
File: CC6_KSeconUS05.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
its most recent Beige Book report October 19, 2005 and reported in its summary that overall economic activity continued to expand in September, but qualified the level of activity leading
to that expansion as moderate or gradual. Only the New York district of the Federal Reserve showed signs of actual slowdown, but the Fed is careful to note that
reports from Atlanta and Dallas districts "reported expansion overall but also experienced noticeable disruptions to the District economy as a result of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita" (Summary, 2005).
As usual - when times are relatively good, of course - though indicators point toward a stable economy, they also provide insight into seasonal and
other temporary changes. Leading Indicators By October, retail sales of general merchandise had increased in most districts in advance of the upcoming holiday
season. One caveat, however, is that several districts reported in October that their local "retail sales were either below plan or weak. Auto sales fell throughout the Districts" (Summary,
2005). Of note is that many retailers are turning to rather deep discounts for the day after Thanksgiving, "black Friday," the day that retailing moves into the black ink
range of the balance sheet as most retailers realize their highest sales in the final quarter of the year. This is an extremely early point to be turning to
such discounts, indicating that retail activity is indeed slower than retailers would like to see. Table 1 provides conditions as reflected by a number of economic indicators. Table 1.
Selected Economic Indicators October 2005 Indicator Previous Current GDP - growth in 3Q2005 3.8 % change Housing Starts 2.5 % change -5.6 % change Manufacturing and Trade
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