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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
This 3 page paper focuses on polls taken when George W. Bush ran and how far off they all were. An inquiry into polling reveals some interesting results. Bibliography lists 2 sources.
Page Count:
3 pages (~225 words per page)
File: RG13_SA1115kud.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
did win the electoral vote. In an article by Larry Kudlow (2000), the situation is examined and the author notes that there had in fact been an eight to ten
steady point lead and even one estimate of 12 points was represented. Again, things changed on Election Day. Kudlow (2000) questions the use of polls and asks if they are
really trustworthy. The author references a number of polls and notes that there are discrepancies (Kudlow, 2000). If the polls disagree with one another, how can they be accurate?
Ed Goeas was consulted by Kudlow (2000) and he had a lot to say about the timing and suggests that whether it is conducted on the
weekend or during the weekday matters. Goeas notes that Democrats are often home on weekends and also, surveys that only talk to likely voters are more accurate than those that
target registered voters (Kudlow, 2000). He adds that anyone wanting to spend an inordinate amount of time talking to a pollster on the weekend is not normal (Kudlow, 2000). Indeed,
many people will avoid discussion with sales people and survey takers, especially when they are trying to relax. When the author looked at another poll after digesting the information provided
by Goeas he noticed that a new survey was in fact taken on the weekend and so should not be trusted (Kudlow, 2000). Kudlow (2000) then looked at the Rasmussen
poll and declared that it as good because it was conducted during a good time period (Kudlow, 2000). Other issues would go to the sample type. In the end, Kudlow
(2000) realized that polling is something that is rather subjective in nature and it is difficult to get credible evidence. The article is good as it suggests that the
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