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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
This 3-page paper provides an overview of macroeconomic conditions in the U.S., and offers predictions about what is likely, based on this year's figures, to happen during 2004. Bibliography lists 4 sources.
Page Count:
3 pages (~225 words per page)
File: D0_MTeconUS.rtf
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Unformatted sample text from the term paper:
seeing some positive turnaround from the macroeconomic standpoint (Anonymous, 2003). Even as far back as June, 2003, the OCED indicated that during 2004, inflation was likely to drop (especially as
energy prices do) and that interest rates will likely have to increase as well, given the economic expansion (Anonymous, 2003). However, experts note that the growing deficit is one factor
that is anticipated to contribute to a growth in interest rates during the next several years (Anonymous, 2003). Furthermore, while unemployment is
still somewhat concerning, the experts believe that a recovery in the labor market (followed by a stronger expected economy) will end up influencing stronger consumer spending (Anonymous, 2003). This, in
turn, will boost the GDP (which, as can be expected, has been floundering during the past two years). In terms of trade,
analysts note that growth in worldwide demand for goods, combined with the dollars depreciation, will likely mean a growth in U.S. exports during 2004 (Anonymous, 2003).
Yet even in the middle of all the good news, there are some analysts who are somewhat worried about the spike in note and bond rates.
Until about the middle of 2003, the bond market was on an upswing (Coy, 2003) (mainly because of declining stocks). But beginning during summer 2003, a sell-off in government bonds
has led interest rates to increase (Coy, 2003). But with fears that the current fixes being put on the economy could spur inflation (and with it, increase a supply of
bonds), bond rates are liable to move up (Coy, 2003). Rates in treasury bills, in particular, are liable to move up as well (Coy, 2003). The concern here is that
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