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Essay / Research Paper Abstract
This 18 page report discusses the development of the new and emerging worlds of financial markets. Closer scrutiny of patterns, behaviors (both repetitive and unique), as well as developing trends must be closely examined. With the acceleration of technological change, and a growing emphasis on institutional learning and continuous product improvement, both the concepts and the policy prescriptions of traditional analysts have become less foolproof than they once were. The three primary approaches to analyzing and forecasting capital and financial markets - fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and behavior finance - are discussed in depth. Bibliography lists 21 sources.
Page Count:
18 pages (~225 words per page)
File: D0_Bwfinan.rtf
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for - January 1999 Introduction Far too many people assume that analyzing financial markets or forecasting capital fluctuations is an art
form or esoteric talent that cannot be learned. In reality, accurate analysis and forecasting can be learned . . . as long as one is motivated enough and patient
enough to pay careful attention to the details involved in the trends, cycles, patterns and other behaviors. Basically, there are three major approaches associated with analyzing and forecasting capital
and financial markets - fundamental, technical, and psychological. Each has its own unique strengths and each has the potential to lead to a greater understanding of the other two.
As the publication Futures (1993, p.22) notes, financial market analysis in virtually any form is a discipline. The successful application of
fundamental, technical, or psychological analysis is the result of following well-proven procedures with effective tools. The use of an effective systematic approach distinguishes exercising basic knowledge from occasional good luck.
According to Ait-Sahalia (1998, p.93), the best choice for employing one or the other of the analytical approaches must be "where investors trading strategies and the specialists rule of
price adjustments are best response to each other." Clearly, it requires the analyst to apply the best techniques as applicable for one situation or another. Habitual Patterns and Behaviors
of Financial Markets Over the last decade or so, most financial market analysts and forecasters have come to believe that the number of
events that have occurred, viewed collectively, suggest that the world economy may be entering a new phase of based capitalism - or, at least, says Dunning (1995, p.461), "changing its
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